Saturday, October 06, 2007

מתקן גרעיני או בסיס טילים סודי

כבר חודש שלם התקשורת העולמית עוסקת בהפצצה הישראלית בסוריה. לכאורה, ככל שעובר הזמן כך נחשפים יותר פרטים על האירוע שחשף את החולשה הסורית, האיראנית וגם חשף את החולשה הרוסית במידה לא מעטה. ללא כל ספק התרחש אירוע צבאי אלים בין ישראל לסוריה. סביר להניח כי ישראל לא היתה מסתכנת בהפצצה סתמית רק לכדי להעביר מסר תקיף לסוריה שתחדל מלהעביר נשק לחיזבאללה. ניתן להעריך כי על כפות-המאזניים עמדו שיקולים שהטרידו מאוד את ישראל - באם היא לא תגיב לידיעות המודיעיניות שזרמו במשך תקופה ארוכה ממחוז דיר אל-זור.

על-מנת להדגים את טווח ההשערות על האירוע, אני מציג בפניכם שתי ידיעות – מה-5 באוקטובר 2007 - המסתמכות על מקורות מהימנים ופורסמו על-ידי שני אמצעי תקשורת הזוכים ליוקרה רבה בשל אמינותם לאורך שנים רבות. הידיעה הראשונה התפרסמה ב-
Intelligence Online והובאה באדיבותה של הכתבת האמריקאית הבכירה לאורה רוזן באתר War and Piece. הידיעה השניה התפרסמה אף היא ב-5 באוקטובר 2007 באתר הבית של תחנת הטלוויזיה האמריקאית ABC. שתי הידיעות, שהתפרסמו כמעט בו זמנית, האחת מקורה מדמשק והשניה מארה"ב, מדגימות יפה את "המשחק" המודיעיני-פוליטי המזרח-תיכוני המתנהל בעוצמה חריגה בהיקפה, מאז ה-6 בספטמבר 2007. ראשית, הידיעה שהתפרסמה אצל לאורה רוזן, ולאחר מכן הידיעה שהתפרסמה באתר של תחנת הטלוויזיה איי.ב.ס. כל אחד יכול לשאול את עצמו מי עמד מאחורי הפרסום ואיזו תועלת הוא (המקור) הפיק מעצם הפרסום.


Intelligence Online reports from Damascus on the Israeli raid on Syria last month:

In attacking Dair el Zor in Syria on Sept. 6, the Israeli air force wasn't targeting a nuclear site but rather one of the main arms depots in the country.


Dair el Zor houses a huge underground base where the Syrian army stores the long and medium-range missiles it mostly buys from Iran and North Korea. The attack by the Israeli air force coincided with the arrival of a stock of parts for Syria's 200 Scud B and 60 Scud C weapons.

The parts were shipped from North Korea aboard a container ship flying the Panamanian flag. The U.S. Navy wanted to board the ship in Morocco's territorial waters but Rabat vetoed the operation. The parts were loaded aboard six trucks in the Syrian port of Tartus on Sept. 3 and took three days to reach Dair el Zor. The trucks and their loads were destroyed the moment they arrived at the underground base. A unit of military police that escorted the convoy was also wiped out in the attack.


Damascus immediately appealed to several Palestinian groups with strong ties to Syria to retaliate. But Hamas, whose strategy chief Khaled Meshal lives in exile in Syria, refused to act. That was also the case of Hezbollah, which sent its political adviser, Hussein Khalil, to Damascus to signify the movement's reluctance to strike back at Israel.


Khalil, who met with the head of Syrian military intelligence, gen. Assef Chawkat, as well as the official in charge of Lebanese affairs in the president's office, gen. Mohamed Nassif, claimed that Israel would launch a new invasion of southern Lebanon if Hezbollah began firing at Israeli targets.


Posted by Laura at October 5, 2007 09:38 AM

================================

High Level Debate Stalled Syria Air Strike

U.S. Was Concerned Over Intelligence, Stability to Region, Officials Tell ABC News
Oct. 5, 2007


The September Israeli airstrike on a suspected nuclear site in Syria had been in the works for months, ABC News has learned, and was delayed only at the strong urging of the United States.

In early July the Israelis presented the United States with satellite imagery that they said showed a nuclear facility in Syria. They had additional evidence that they said showed that some of the technology was supplied by North Korea.

One U.S. official told ABC's Martha Raddatz the material was "jaw dropping" because it raised questions as to why U.S. intelligence had not previously picked up on the facility.

Officials said that the facility had likely been there for months if not years.

"Israel tends to be very thorough about its intelligence coverage, particularly when it takes a major military step, so they would not have acted without data from several sources," said ABC military consultant Tony Cordesman.

U.S. Cautious After Flawed Iraq Intelligence

A senior U.S. official said the Israelis planned to strike during the week of July 14 and in secret high-level meetings American officials argued over how to respond to the intelligence.

Some in the administration supported the Israeli action, but others, notably Sect. of State Condoleeza Rice did not. One senior official said the U.S. convinced the Israelis to "confront Syria before attacking."

Officials said they were concerned about the impact an attack on Syria would have on the region. And given the profound consequences of the flawed intelligence in Iraq, the U.S. wanted to be absolutely certain the intelligence was accurate.

Initially, administration officials convinced the Israelis to call off the July strike. But in September the Israelis feared that news of the site was about to leak and went ahead with the strike despite U.S. concerns.

The airstrike was so highly classified, President Bush refused to acknowledge it publicly even after the bombs fell.

ABC's Martha Raddatz filed this report for World News With Charles Gibson.

==
מאת: ד"ר יוחאי סלע, "מתקן גרעיני או בסיס טילים סודי", 6 באוקטובר 2007, The Mideast Forum.

3 comments:

prof said...

hello
write to a great personnalities!
i post your letter on jewisheritage.fr
shalom
marcel

Anonymous said...

Ι κnow this ѕitе offеrs quality baѕеԁ aгtісlеs οr гevіеωs аnԁ оthеr materiаl,
is thеrе any othеr web site ωhiсh
pгesentѕ these kindѕ оf infοrmation in qualitу?



Feel freе to surf to my ωeb site - v2 cigs reviews

Anonymous said...

Hi to all, how is the whole thing, I think every one is getting more from
this web site, and your views are fastidious designed for new people.


My homepage: adbrites.info